Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001227 1.383235e-03 0.001540 0.001709 0.001885 0.002063 0.002256
2025-08-03 0.001006 1.231911e-03 0.001466 0.001725 0.002002 0.002287 0.002602
2025-08-10 0.000772 1.041106e-03 0.001330 0.001659 0.002018 0.002394 0.002816
2025-08-17 0.000609 9.101722e-04 0.001245 0.001636 0.002071 0.002535 0.003060
2025-08-24 0.000439 7.525041e-04 0.001117 0.001554 0.002052 0.002589 0.003206
2025-08-31 0.000337 6.621102e-04 0.001057 0.001543 0.002104 0.002718 0.003429
2025-09-07 0.000267 6.038732e-04 0.001029 0.001563 0.002189 0.002880 0.003685
2025-09-14 0.000186 5.168024e-04 0.000958 0.001527 0.002205 0.002961 0.003850
2025-09-21 0.000143 4.768933e-04 0.000942 0.001554 0.002291 0.003120 0.004098
2025-09-28 0.000119 4.633954e-04 0.000959 0.001619 0.002420 0.003325 0.004397
2025-10-05 0.000081 4.158002e-04 0.000925 0.001620 0.002472 0.003440 0.004593
2025-10-12 0.000058 3.890597e-04 0.000918 0.001651 0.002557 0.003594 0.004831
2025-10-19 0.000032 3.584353e-04 0.000918 0.001710 0.002701 0.003840 0.005206
2025-10-26 0.000007 2.983015e-04 0.000870 0.001707 0.002770 0.004004 0.005492
2025-11-02 NaN 2.115260e-04 0.000769 0.001628 0.002745 0.004057 0.005651
2025-11-09 NaN 1.560084e-04 0.000707 0.001598 0.002777 0.004175 0.005885
2025-11-16 NaN 9.149567e-05 0.000611 0.001512 0.002735 0.004204 0.006013
2025-11-23 NaN 5.961354e-05 0.000567 0.001497 0.002781 0.004335 0.006258
2025-11-30 NaN 4.134194e-05 0.000547 0.001515 0.002868 0.004515 0.006560
2025-12-07 NaN 1.749452e-05 0.000494 0.001479 0.002881 0.004603 0.006753
2025-12-14 NaN 9.125095e-06 0.000482 0.001505 0.002976 0.004790 0.007060
2025-12-21 NaN 6.631598e-06 0.000494 0.001568 0.003119 0.005036 0.007436
2025-12-28 NaN 7.234620e-07 0.000468 0.001568 0.003178 0.005176 0.007687